Reading | 49.6 |
Period:
Previous Reading: 49.9
Forecast: 49.9
Actual Reading: 49.6
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.
The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.
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Period: Apr
Previous Reading: -0.2%; 1.6%
Forecast: 0.1%
Actual Reading:
Gauge for costs of homes in the United Kingdom. Mortgage data is used to provide a timely measure of the level of prices. House prices give good information current conditions in the housing market. The Index can precurse broader inflationary pressures felt in later more market moving reports should housing price pressures feed into consumer prices.
Reading |
Period: Apr
Previous Reading: -15.3%
Forecast:
Actual Reading:
This indicator measures commodities exported from Australia.
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Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 48.7
Forecast: 48.7
Actual Reading:
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. It is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.
The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 4.015%; 3.33
Forecast:
Actual Reading:
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency. hide
Reading |
Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 184K
Forecast: 179K
Actual Reading:
The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change measures the change in the number of newly employed people in the USA, excluding workers in the farming industry.
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Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 49.9
Forecast: 49.9
Actual Reading:
A monthly index released by the Institute of Supply Management which tracks the amount of manufacturing activity that occurred in the previous month.ISM Manufacuring assesses the state of US industry by surveying executives on expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. This data is considered a very important and trusted economic measure. If the index has a value below 50, due to a decrease in activity, it tends to indicate an economic recession, especially if the trend continues over several months. A value substantially above 50 likely indicates a time of economic growth. The values for the index can be between 0 and 100.
Values over 50 generally indicate an expansion, while values below 50 indicate contraction.
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Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 50.3
Forecast: 50.1
Actual Reading:
A monthly index released by the Institute of Supply Management which tracks the amount of manufacturing activity that occurred in the previous month.ISM Manufacuring assesses the state of US industry by surveying executives on expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. This data is considered a very important and trusted economic measure. If the index has a value below 50, due to a decrease in activity, it tends to indicate an economic recession, especially if the trend continues over several months. A value substantially above 50 likely indicates a time of economic growth. The values for the index can be between 0 and 100.
Values over 50 generally indicate an expansion, while values below 50 indicate contraction.
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Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 55.8
Forecast:
Actual Reading:
A monthly index released by the Institute of Supply Management which tracks the amount of manufacturing activity that occurred in the previous month.ISM Manufacuring assesses the state of US industry by surveying executives on expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. This data is considered a very important and trusted economic measure. If the index has a value below 50, due to a decrease in activity, it tends to indicate an economic recession, especially if the trend continues over several months. A value substantially above 50 likely indicates a time of economic growth. The values for the index can be between 0 and 100.
Values over 50 generally indicate an expansion, while values below 50 indicate contraction.
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Period: Mar
Previous Reading: -0.3%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual Reading:
Construction Spending gauges the level of construction activity in the United States . The Construction Spending report looks at both residential and non-residential construction. The construction industry makes a significant contribution to the United States GDP in the form of investment expenditure as well as stimulus of industries related to building. Furthermore, since builders are unlikely to pour money into construction projects unless they feel the economy favors their investment, changes in business sentiment like this are usually quickly seen in construction figures. However, the report has little significance for market participants because of its untimely release. By the time the report is announced, other reports, such as Building Permits and Building Starts have already provided similar information.
The report headline is the percentage change from the previous month.
Technical notes: The construction industry is a major force to the United States economy, even without including non-construction businesses that are tied to building, such as finance, the furnishing industry, appliance industry and other manufacturing. Private Construction activity can be an effective indicator of business confidence.
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Period: Mar
Previous Reading: 8756K
Forecast: 8680K
Actual Reading:
A survey done by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics to help measure job vacancies. It collects data from employers including retailers, manufacturers and different offices each month. Respondents to the survey answer quantitative and qualitative questions about their businesses' employment, job openings, recruitment, hires and separations. The JOLTS data is published monthly and by region and industry.
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Period: Apr
Previous Reading: -6368K
Forecast: -2300K
Actual Reading:
The actual inventories of crude oil, gasoline, and distillate, such as jet fuel, as reported on a weekly basis. The numbers are watched closely by the energy markets, and if the results differ greatly from the expected inventory levels, the market can react strongly. The inventory data can be skewed by holidays and seasonal factors. Weekly data can be unreliable and should be viewed as a part of longer-term trends, so a four-week moving average may be more useful.
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 5.50%
Forecast: 5.50%
Actual Reading:
The main interest rates settled by the FOMC are responsible for driving inflation in accordance with the monetary policy adopted by the FED. One of the rates in mind is the overnight borrowing rate and the Federal Reserve’s Cash Rate Target (FRCRT). The latter affects interest rates for consumer loans, mortgages, bonds or others. The actual changes to the interest rates have a direct impact on the US dollar. However, the market expectation, in respect to future monetary policy, plays a part that is even more significant for the market. In such circumstances, any indirect information that provides hints to future FED monetary policy, and thus influences the market expectations in respect to the interest rates, may have a significant impact on the US currency. Typically, an increase of the interest rates, or expectations of such an increase, provide fundamental support to the US dollar. The lower interest rates may have a negative impact on the US currency. hide
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The FOMC usually changes the statement slightly at each release. It's these changes that traders focus on. It's the primary tool the FOMC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes.
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Forecast:
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The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The FOMC conference is among the primary methods the Fed uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, along with commentary about economic conditions such as the future growth outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy.
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Period: Mar
Previous Reading: 14.9%
Forecast:
Actual Reading:
The number of new building projects authorized for construction New Zealand . Building Consents, or Building Permits, are issued when a building project has been authorized to begin construction. Since Building Consents serve as one of the earliest signals of expanded housing supply, the report is a leading indicator for the overall housing market. Also, because of the high outlays needed for construction projects Building Permits suggests optimism for corporate or consumer spending. Lastly, housing indicators are popular leading indicators due to the multiplier effect that they have on the rest of the economy. The headline is the percentage change in new consents for the month.
Note: When looking deeper into the report it is important to analyze in detail what the type of projects the consents are for, as Building Consents include residential housing as well as 'big-ticket' non-residential buildings and government projects that can create large gyrations in the report month to month.
Calculator of forex volatility
What is volatility on Forex?
Volatility is a statistical measure to gauge fluctuations on Forex. This term reflects a size of changes in a security’s value for a certain time interval. Besides, it is an important financial barometer, which determines an amount of risk for a particular deal. For instance, currency pairs with a low volatility are less risky as their values do not fluctuate dramatically. On the contrary, currency pairs with a high volatility require a well-grounded trading strategy.
Volatility calculator
The average volatility calculator is created to assess a price volatility of a particular currency pair for a certain period. A trader can estimate volatility of major, exotic, and cross currency pairs. A calculation is based on an intraday change in pips and percent according to a certain time frame from 1 to 52 weeks. The volatility calculator helps traders evaluate the degree of their investment risks.
Why do traders need a time frame?
Traders should be aware of an average volatility for every currency pair. The calculator enables traders to measure a standard volatility for different time frames as well as deviations from an average level. Thus, traders can recognize a favorable period for trading. Importantly, too “old” data can be unimportant to make a forecast.
How to calculate volatility?
The average true range (ATR) indicator is used to measure market volatility. Please follow the formula below:
Formula: Variation = Average (Higher — Lower)
Interpretation: Variation equals an average value of a difference between the highest and lowest prices of a currency pair over a particular period.