| Grafik | Kuotes |
| Currency Pair | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3329 | 1.3332 | |
| 1.5668 | 1.5671 | |
| 94.96 | 94.99 | |
| 0.9259 | 0.9262 | |
| 1.0189 | 1.0192 | |
| 126.59 | 126.62 | |
| 1.2342 | 1.2345 | |
| 148.72 | 148.79 | |
| 1.4504 | 1.4511 | |
| 1377.71 | 1378.31 |
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Central Banks failure to communicate bolster bond yields
What central banks may have the world over is a failure to communicate. Officials are having a hard time to spell out their... |
| Forecast | Reading | Importance |
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Period: Jun
Previous Reading:
Forecast:
Actual Reading:
The board normally meets eleven times each year, on the first Tuesday of each month, with the exception of January which has no meeting. Every year, the Board meets at least once in Melbourne, which is usually in the first six months of the year. The Board occasionally also meets in other Australian cities. Five members of the Board must meet in order to form a meeting of the Board, which must be chaired by the Governor, or the Deputy Governor in his absence.
The Board usually forms a consensus without a need for structured voting on the issues at hand. Meetings of the Board are held in the Boardroom of the Reserve Bank's Head Office in Sydney or the equivalent in other Regional Offices of the Bank. The meetings begin at 9.00 am and continue for three and a half hours, with a lunch at the end and perhaps a guest speaker. Minutes of the monetary policy Board meetings are published two weeks after the meeting is held.
hide| Forecast | 0.1% m/m; 2.6% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 0.2% m/m; 2.4% y/y
Forecast: 0.1% m/m; 2.6% y/y
Actual Reading:
Measures the change in prices for retail goods and services, including food and gas. The CPI is the key measure of inflation for the UK and is used by the Bank of England in making interest rate decisions. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical British household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Sterling to purchase the same set of basic consumer items.
hide| Forecast | 0.1% m/m; 2.5% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: -2.3% m/m; -0.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.1% m/m; 2.5% y/y
Actual Reading:
A monthly survey that measures change in input prices as incurred by UK manufacturers. Input prices include the cost of materials used plus operation costs of running the business. The index can be used as a measure of inflation, given that higher input costs will likely be passed on from producers to consumers in the form of higher retail prices.
The headline is the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (Input) from the previous quarter and previous year.
hide| Forecast | 0.0% m/m; 1.4% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: -0.1% m/m; 1.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.0% m/m; 1.4% y/y
Actual Reading:
A monthly survey that measures the price changes of goods produced by UK manufacturers. The figure is also known as "Factory Gate Price" because it usually matches the price of goods when they first leave the factory. Increased prices in manufacturing typically lead to higher retail prices for consumers. However, it is also likely that higher output prices are caused by manufacturers charging a higher premium due to higher demand for their goods. Consequently, market trends in consumption should be considered with Output PPI to avoid data misinterpretation.
hide| Forecast | 0.1% m/m; 0.9% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 0.1% m/m; 0.8% y/y
Forecast: 0.1% m/m; 0.9% y/y
Actual Reading:
Core Output PPI excludes volatile items such as food and energy. The Core PPI is generally a better measure of inflation because it excludes those items whose short-term price fluctuations can distort inflationary data.
The headline is the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (Output) from the previous quarter and previous year.
hide| Forecast | 0.2% m/m; 3.1% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 0.3% m/m; 2.9% y/y
Forecast: 0.2% m/m; 3.1% y/y
Actual Reading:
Retail Price Index measures changes in the prices of goods and services bought for household consumption in the UK. The RPI takes a large sample of retail goods including food, tobacco, household goods and services, transport fares, motoring costs, clothing, and leisure goods and services. An increase in the index means that prices have increased on average (inflation) while a decrease means that prices on the whole have fallen (deflation). The headline figure is the percentage change in the index from the previous quarter and previous year. RPI data is also used for indexation of state benefits and pensions.
hide| Forecast | 3.1% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 2.9% y/y
Forecast: 3.1% y/y
Actual Reading:
Retail Price Index - an inflationary indicator that measures the change in the cost of a fixed basket of retail goods - excluding mortgage interest payments.
hide| Forecast | 2.1% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 2.0% y/y
Forecast: 2.1% y/y
Actual Reading:
CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.
Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.
The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.
The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.
hide| Forecast | 38.2 | Reading | Importance |
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Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 36.4
Forecast: 38.2
Actual Reading:
A German Firm, the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about Germany 's economic situation. They ask experts to evaluate the current situation and to predict the future direction of the economy. For all components of the survey, responses are restricted to positive, negative, or unchanged. This simple structure allows the survey to be quick and efficient in terms of turnaround time, as well as easy to understand and interpret.
Experts are asked for a qualitative assessment of the direction of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates and the stock market in the next six months. Thus the indicator provides a medium-term forecast for the German economy.
Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10.
hide| Forecast | 9.5 | Reading | Importance |
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Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 8.9
Forecast: 9.5
Actual Reading:
A German Firm, the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about Germany 's economic situation. They ask experts to evaluate the current situation and to predict the future direction of the economy. For all components of the survey, responses are restricted to positive, negative, or unchanged. This simple structure allows the survey to be quick and efficient in terms of turnaround time, as well as easy to understand and interpret.
Unlike the Economic Sentiment Indicator which looks into the future direction of the economy, the Current Situation Indicator focuses on the results of the survey that relate to the current health of the German economy. Expert opinions on whether the current situation is improved, worsened, or unchanged are summarized as the number of positive responses minus the number of negative responses. A higher headline figure indicates a stronger economy and better business climate.
Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10.
hide| Forecast | 29.4 | Reading | Importance |
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Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 27.6
Forecast: 29.4
Actual Reading:
The Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about the economic situation. Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Assesses future economic expectations for the whole Eurozone. The results are summarized as the number of positive responses minus the number of negative responses. A higher headline figure indicates a positive expectation for Euro-zone economy.
Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10.
hide| Forecast | 977K; -2.8% m/m | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 1017K; 14.3% m/m
Forecast: 977K; -2.8% m/m
Actual Reading:
The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole.
The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month.
hide| Forecast | 950K; 11.4% m/m | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 853K; -16.5% m/m
Forecast: 950K; 11.4% m/m
Actual Reading:
Gauges the change in the number of new houses built in the United States. Housing Starts are one of the earliest indicators of the housing market, only trailing Building Permits in timeliness.
Because high outlays are needed to start construction projects, an increase in Housing Starts implies an increase in investment and business optimism. Finally, the Housing Starts figure gives insight into consumer activity, since new home purchases typically require a large investment for consumers. Given such connections to consumer and corporate sentiment, real estate generally leads economic developments. A sharp drop in new home construction is a warning signal of economic slowdown. Conversely, a rebound in the Housing Starts paves the way for economic recovery.
Housing Starts data is differentiated by building types (single family houses, 2 to 4 residence units and 5 or more residence units). The single family housing starts is a more reliable economic indicator than multi family housing starts, as single family house building is driven by demand and consumer confidence, whereas multi family house building is more often motivated by speculative real estate investors. The report headline is expressed in volume of houses built. The figures are in the thousands of units.
hide| Forecast | 0.1% m/m; 1.4% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: -0.4% m/m; 1.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.1% m/m; 1.4% y/y
Actual Reading:
CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.
Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.
The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.
On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services.
hide| Forecast | 0.2% m/m; 1.7% y/y | Reading | Importance |
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Period: May
Previous Reading: 0.1% m/m; 1.7% y/y
Forecast: 0.2% m/m; 1.7% y/y
Actual Reading:
CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States
The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI).
The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.
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