FX.co ★ Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for February 27 - 2015

Technical summary:

The break below the support-line from 130.14 has forced us to consider wave (iv) as shown. The latter part of this count is very messy and we are still cautious as this mess quickly could turn into something entirely different. To make this count valid, we should stay below resistance at 135.37 for a clear break below support at 133.51, which would call for wave (v) lower towards the ideal target at 125.98. Only a break above 135.37 will keep the correction from 130.14 alive and call for a rally to 137.65 to end wave (iv) and set the stage for wave (v) lower.

Trading recommendations:

We are short EUR from 133.90 and will lower our stop to 135.45. EUR should only be sold near 134.65 or upon a break below 133.51 with the same stop at 135.45.