FX.co ★ Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for August 1, 2014

Today's support and resistance levels:

R3: 138.44

R2: 138.11

R1: 138.05

Current spot: 137.91

S1: 137.72

S2: 137.56

S3: 137.25

Technical summary:

Red wave iv is still unfolding, but it should still stop next to resistance at 138.05, from where a new strong decline to 135.49 is expected. In the longer term, we are still looking for a decline to the equality target at 134.34, where wave C will be equal in length to wave A. At this point, only a break above 138.11 will invalidate the bearish scenario. At 138.12, red wave iv will overlap red wave i, which in not allowed under the Elliott Wave Principle.

Trading recommendation:

We will sell EUR at 138.00 or upon a break below support at 137.73 with stop placed at 138.25.