| Chart | Quotes |
| Currency Pair | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3273 | 1.3276 | |
| 1.5484 | 1.5487 | |
| 96.70 | 96.73 | |
| 0.9299 | 0.9302 | |
| 1.0272 | 1.0275 | |
| 128.37 | 128.40 | |
| 1.2344 | 1.2349 | |
| 149.68 | 149.75 | |
| 1.4399 | 1.4406 | |
| 1350.99 | 1351.59 |
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| Forecast | Reading | 0.3% m/m | Importance |
|
Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 0.1% m/m
Forecast:
Actual Reading: 0.3% m/m
The Index includes account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. As the aggregate of many leading indices the Leading Economic Index provides a forecast of the future state of the domestic economy and is thought to predict activity that will occur 6-9 months after the reporting period.
The index operates on a 1-100 scale, where a value lower than 50 means that most indictors are negative and a value higher than 50 means most indicators are positive. In both cases a greater distance from the midpoint (50) means that the indicators are more strongly positive or negative.
hide| Forecast | 0-0-9 | Reading | 0-0-9 | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 0-0-9
Forecast: 0-0-9
Actual Reading: 0-0-9
BoE release minutes of prior (5th-6th Aug) MPC meeting.The BoE Monetary Policy Committee meets every month to set the interest rate. Throughout the month, the MPC receives extensive briefing on the economy from Bank of England staff. This includes a half-day meeting – known as the pre-MPC meeting – which usually takes place on the Friday before the MPC's interest rate setting meeting. The nine members of the Committee are made aware of all the latest data on the economy and hear explanations of recent trends and analysis of relevant issues. The Committee is also told about business conditions around the UK from the Bank's Agents. The Agents' role is to talk directly to business to gain intelligence and insight into current and future economic developments and prospects.
The monthly MPC meeting itself is a two-day affair. On the first day, the meeting starts with an update on the most recent economic data. A series of issues is then identified for discussion. On the following day, a summary of the previous day's discussion is provided and the MPC members individually explain their views on what policy should be. The Governor then puts to the meeting the policy which he believes will command a majority and members of the MPC vote. Any member in a minority is asked to say what level of interest rates he or she would have preferred, and this is recorded in the minutes of the meeting. The interest rate decision is announced at 12 noon on the second day.
hide| Forecast | 10.0 | Reading | 2.2 | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 2.2
Forecast: 10.0
Actual Reading: 2.2
The ZEW-CS Indicator is calculated monthly by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in cooperation with Credit Suisse (CS). The indicator reflects the expectations of the surveyed financial market experts regarding the economic development in Switzerland on a six-month time horizon.
hide| Forecast | 0.5% m/m | Reading | 0.2% m/m; -1.2% y/y | Importance |
|
Period: Apr
Previous Reading: 0.1% m/m; 0.7% y/y
Forecast: 0.5% m/m
Actual Reading: 0.2% m/m; -1.2% y/y
The value of sales made by Canadian wholesalers. Wholesalers sell to industries and retailers in quantities far larger than most consumers are willing to purchase. Given that growth in Wholesale Trade usually precedes increases in retail trade and consumption, changes in Wholesale Sales can be used as an early indicator for the overall direction of the retail sector, consumption and the economy. The headline figure reports the monthly percentage change in Wholesale Sales, seasonally adjusted to account for variations in demand due to seasonal cycles.
These sectors are farm products, food, beverages, and tobacco products, personal and household goods, automotive products, building materials, machinery and electronic equipment etc.
hide| Forecast | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading:
Forecast:
Actual Reading:
Economic projections are collected from each member of the Board of Governors and each Federal Reserve Bank president four times a year, in connection with the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC’s) usual two-day meetings (typically held in January, April, June, and November). Several charts and a table that summarize those projections are released at the Chairman's press conference within hours of the meeting. Three weeks later, more detailed information is provided in the Summary of Economic Projections, which is published with the minutes of the FOMC meeting.
hide| Forecast | 0.25% | Reading | 0.25% | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 0.25%
Forecast: 0.25%
Actual Reading: 0.25%
The announcement of whether the Federal Reserve has increased, decreased or maintained the key interest rate. The FOMC meets eight times per year to decide on monetary policy. After each meeting policy decisions are announced. The main task of the FOMC is to set the monetary stance by fixing the overnight borrowing rate, which essentially sets short-term lending rates in the US. Through this mechanism, the FOMC attempts to affect price levels in order to keep inflation within the target range while maintaining stable economic growth and employment.
The Federal Reserve's Cash Rate Target decision significantly influences financial markets. Changes in rates affect interest rates for consumer loans, mortgages, bonds, and the exchange rate of the U.S. Dollar. Increases in rates or even expectations of increases tend to cause the Dollar to appreciate, while rate decreases cause the currency to depreciate. Unlike most central banks, the Federal Reserve does not announce an official target inflation rate, arguing independence and flexibility is necessary to implement monetary policy effectively.
The Federal Reserve issues a statement with every rate announcement. Because the decision itself is usually highly anticipated, the wording of the FOMC statement is usually as important if not more important than the actual interest rate move made by the central bank. The FOMC statement contains the Fed's collective outlook on the economy as well as hints about future monetary policy while the change to interest rates is nothing more than a number. The statement provides clues on plans for the future. When it comes to interest rates, the future direction of rates is usually far more important than its current rate
Ramifications for the U.S. Dollar
Interest rate hike : The US dollar generally rallies on the back of an interest rate hike because the hike increases the yield offered by US assets. This attracts foreign investment into the US which tends to be positive for the dollar. The strength of the reaction will depend on how much the market has already priced in the decision as well as the whether the FOMC statement hints at more rate hikes to come.
Interest rate cut : An interest rate cut tends to be perceived as bearish for the US dollar because the cut reduces the yield offered by US assets. The perception is that the economy has weakened enough that the Federal Reserve is forced to either reduce monetary tightening or increase the stimulus in the market to reignite growth. The strength of the reaction will depend on how much the market has already priced in the decision as well as whether the FOMC statement hints that more rate cuts are to come.
Rates Left Unchanged : The reaction of the US dollar will depend upon whether the Fed is pausing after a prolonged tightening or easing cycle or has been pausing for some time. If it comes after a tightening cycle, it would be perceived as dollar bearish. If it is after an easing cycle, it would be perceived as dollar bullish. If they have been pausing for months already, the reaction would probably be more neutral.
hide| Forecast | 0.6% q/q; 2.4% y/y | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: 1 quarter
Previous Reading: 1.5% q/q; 3.0% y/y
Forecast: 0.6% q/q; 2.4% y/y
Actual Reading:
A comprehensive measure of a New Zealand 's overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. Economic expansion, indicated by a growing GDP, raises concerns about inflationary pressure.
GDP calculates the total market value of goods and services produced in New Zealand within a given period after deducting the cost of goods and services used up in the process of production. Therefore, GDP excludes intermediate goods and services and considers final aggregates only. It is calculated as:
GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)
where
C = private consumption
I = private investment
G = government expenditure
EX = exports of goods and services
IM = imports of goods and services
The headline figures for GDP are the percentage growth rate from the previous quarter and the annualized percentage change in GDP. These are the preliminary figures, and are usually revised every following month.
| Forecast | 49.4 | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 49.2
Forecast: 49.4
Actual Reading:
A monthly guage of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.
The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.
hide| Forecast | 2.45bln | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: May
Previous Reading: 1.73bln
Forecast: 2.45bln
Actual Reading:
A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.
Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.
Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.
However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.
hide| Forecast | 0.0% m/m; 0.3% y/y | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: May
Previous Reading: -0.2% m/m; 0.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.0% m/m; 0.3% y/y
Actual Reading:
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.
A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.
The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.
Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.
hide| Forecast | 47.1 | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 46.4
Forecast: 47.1
Actual Reading:
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The PMI is based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.
The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.
hide| Forecast | 45.0 | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 44.3
Forecast: 45.0
Actual Reading:
Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index.
hide| Forecast | 0.25% | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 0.25%
Forecast: 0.25%
Actual Reading:
The target interest rate set by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Adjusting the Three-Month Target Libor Rate is the primary monetary policy instrument of the Swiss National Bank.
The bank often raises rates to control inflation and reduces the rate to spur economic growth. Because rate changes affect the costs and returns for consumer loans, mortgages, bank yields and bond rates, the decision has huge influence on the economy and financial markets. The Financial sector is a relatively large part of the Swiss economy. Consequently Libor rate changes can affect the profitability of a significant part of Switzerland 's economy and affect the value of the Swiss Franc. Increasing Libor rates increases the demand for the Swiss Franc (an appreciating weight) where rate decreases lessen demand.
The Bank's current inflation target is 2 percent, and it increases and decreases rates accordingly in pursuit of that goal.
hide| Forecast | 49.9 | Reading | Importance |
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| Forecast | 50.1 | Reading | Importance |
|
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 49.7
Forecast: 50.1
Actual Reading:
Gauge for the overall performance of the German service sector. The Services PMI interviews German executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the German service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index.
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