| Chart | Quotes |
| Currency Pair | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3157 | 1.3160 | |
| 1.5813 | 1.5816 | |
| 76.59 | 76.62 | |
| 0.9181 | 0.9184 | |
| 0.9933 | 0.9936 | |
| 100.79 | 100.82 | |
| 1.2080 | 1.2083 | |
| 121.07 | 121.14 | |
| 1.4517 | 1.4524 | |
| 1725.30 | 1726.30 |

| Calendar | ||||||
The portal MT5 calendar of economic events is an essential tool of a trader, regardless of his professional level and trade experience. This calendar is more useful for traders, who create trading strategy, using fundamental analysis, and also for analysts, working on Forex market.
Besides, economic calendar of the portal MT5 updates online. Moreover, the economic calendar is built on a catalog system. Thus, if you request certain information over a specified period of time, you will get necessary report within the set-up dates.
| Time | Country | Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 |
|
PMI Services | Dec | 56.2 | - | 50.6 |
|
Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| 15:00 |
|
Hometrack Housing Survey | Jan | -0.2% m/m, -2.1% y/y | - | 0% m/m, -1.6% y/y |
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The Hometrack housing price index shows the change in the price range at the residential real estate market. |
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| Time | Country | Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 |
|
Business Confidence | Jan | 95.5 | 92.3 | 92.1 |
|
This indicator is a reflection of the current business conditions in the Euro area. It represents the survey's results of business sector in Italy. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence | Jan | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.7 |
|
Euro-zone Confidence and Sentiment Indicators - Euro-zone Based on the results of numerous surveys, these indicators are designed to forecast the direction of the Euro-zone economy. Each indictor is the balance of positive and negative responses. If there are more optimistic responses the headline figure will be positive, while a greater number of negative responses will result in negative figure. The strength of the sentiment can be seen in the magnitude of the figure. Euro-zone Business Climate Indicator Gauges current business conditions in the Euro-zone. Based on industrial sector surveys the BCI strives to provide a timely and clear picture of business sentiment in the Euro-zone. A high or rising Business Climate figure generally indicates a healthy economy and business climate; conversely, a low or declining figure signals an unfavorable or worsening economy. As business and consumer confidence increases we typically see similar increases in investments, production, and consumption and economic growth. Euro-zone Economic Confidence An overall gauge of sentiment toward the economy in the Euro-zone. The index is a composite of most of the sector specific surveys done by the European Commission. A high or rising level of Economic Confidence indicates healthy levels of purchasing, business spending, and investment - a positive economic outlook conducive to the strengthening of the economy and the Euro. Reported in the European Commission's Business and Consumer Surveys, economic confidence brings together 5 confidence indicators with different weights: Industrial Confidence (40%), Service Confidence (30%), Consumer Confidence (20%), Construction Confidence (5%), and Retail Trade Confidence Indicator (5%). Euro-zone Consumer Confidence Measures consumer sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. The figure is the result of Euro-zone consumer surveys personal finance, the job market, the likelihood of saving and expectations on the economy. High levels of consumer confidence bode well for the economy, indicating consumers are more likely to increase consumption spurring growth and potentially sparking inflation. Conversely, low consumer confidence levels suggest decreased spending. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive consumer confidence, while a negative number shows more negative answers. Euro-zone Industrial Confidence A measure of industry sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. Based on a survey among industrial executives, Industrial Confidence asks for production expectations. Specifically the European Commission asks about recent orders and buildup of inventories. Higher levels of industrial confidence indicate a positive outlook for future business spending and capital investment. Despite the fact that manufacturing accounts for only about a quarter of Euro-zone business, industry accounts for most of the volatility in GDP. Thus developments here have significant impact on overall growth in Europe. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. A headline above zero indicates positive industrial confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. Euro-zone Services Confidence A gauge of business sentiment in the services sector. The figure is derived from a survey asking firms in the service sector about current and expected demand. Since the service sector accounts for roughly two thirds of total Euro-zone GDP, Services Confidence provides an important confirmation of the health for the overall economy. High levels of Services Confidence suggest future upward trends for production and employment. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive service sector confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Euro-Zone Services Confidence | Jan | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.6 |
|
Euro-zone Confidence and Sentiment Indicators - Euro-zone Based on the results of numerous surveys, these indicators are designed to forecast the direction of the Euro-zone economy. Each indictor is the balance of positive and negative responses. If there are more optimistic responses the headline figure will be positive, while a greater number of negative responses will result in negative figure. The strength of the sentiment can be seen in the magnitude of the figure. Euro-zone Business Climate Indicator Gauges current business conditions in the Euro-zone. Based on industrial sector surveys the BCI strives to provide a timely and clear picture of business sentiment in the Euro-zone. A high or rising Business Climate figure generally indicates a healthy economy and business climate; conversely, a low or declining figure signals an unfavorable or worsening economy. As business and consumer confidence increases we typically see similar increases in investments, production, and consumption and economic growth. Euro-zone Economic Confidence An overall gauge of sentiment toward the economy in the Euro-zone. The index is a composite of most of the sector specific surveys done by the European Commission. A high or rising level of Economic Confidence indicates healthy levels of purchasing, business spending, and investment - a positive economic outlook conducive to the strengthening of the economy and the Euro. Reported in the European Commission's Business and Consumer Surveys, economic confidence brings together 5 confidence indicators with different weights: Industrial Confidence (40%), Service Confidence (30%), Consumer Confidence (20%), Construction Confidence (5%), and Retail Trade Confidence Indicator (5%). Euro-zone Consumer Confidence Measures consumer sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. The figure is the result of Euro-zone consumer surveys personal finance, the job market, the likelihood of saving and expectations on the economy. High levels of consumer confidence bode well for the economy, indicating consumers are more likely to increase consumption spurring growth and potentially sparking inflation. Conversely, low consumer confidence levels suggest decreased spending. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive consumer confidence, while a negative number shows more negative answers. Euro-zone Industrial Confidence A measure of industry sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. Based on a survey among industrial executives, Industrial Confidence asks for production expectations. Specifically the European Commission asks about recent orders and buildup of inventories. Higher levels of industrial confidence indicate a positive outlook for future business spending and capital investment. Despite the fact that manufacturing accounts for only about a quarter of Euro-zone business, industry accounts for most of the volatility in GDP. Thus developments here have significant impact on overall growth in Europe. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. A headline above zero indicates positive industrial confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. Euro-zone Services Confidence A gauge of business sentiment in the services sector. The figure is derived from a survey asking firms in the service sector about current and expected demand. Since the service sector accounts for roughly two thirds of total Euro-zone GDP, Services Confidence provides an important confirmation of the health for the overall economy. High levels of Services Confidence suggest future upward trends for production and employment. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive service sector confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Euro-Zone Indust. Confidence | Jan | -7.1 | -6.8 | -7.2 |
|
Euro-zone Confidence and Sentiment Indicators - Euro-zone Based on the results of numerous surveys, these indicators are designed to forecast the direction of the Euro-zone economy. Each indictor is the balance of positive and negative responses. If there are more optimistic responses the headline figure will be positive, while a greater number of negative responses will result in negative figure. The strength of the sentiment can be seen in the magnitude of the figure. Euro-zone Business Climate Indicator Gauges current business conditions in the Euro-zone. Based on industrial sector surveys the BCI strives to provide a timely and clear picture of business sentiment in the Euro-zone. A high or rising Business Climate figure generally indicates a healthy economy and business climate; conversely, a low or declining figure signals an unfavorable or worsening economy. As business and consumer confidence increases we typically see similar increases in investments, production, and consumption and economic growth. Euro-zone Economic Confidence An overall gauge of sentiment toward the economy in the Euro-zone. The index is a composite of most of the sector specific surveys done by the European Commission. A high or rising level of Economic Confidence indicates healthy levels of purchasing, business spending, and investment - a positive economic outlook conducive to the strengthening of the economy and the Euro. Reported in the European Commission's Business and Consumer Surveys, economic confidence brings together 5 confidence indicators with different weights: Industrial Confidence (40%), Service Confidence (30%), Consumer Confidence (20%), Construction Confidence (5%), and Retail Trade Confidence Indicator (5%). Euro-zone Consumer Confidence Measures consumer sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. The figure is the result of Euro-zone consumer surveys personal finance, the job market, the likelihood of saving and expectations on the economy. High levels of consumer confidence bode well for the economy, indicating consumers are more likely to increase consumption spurring growth and potentially sparking inflation. Conversely, low consumer confidence levels suggest decreased spending. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive consumer confidence, while a negative number shows more negative answers. Euro-zone Industrial Confidence A measure of industry sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. Based on a survey among industrial executives, Industrial Confidence asks for production expectations. Specifically the European Commission asks about recent orders and buildup of inventories. Higher levels of industrial confidence indicate a positive outlook for future business spending and capital investment. Despite the fact that manufacturing accounts for only about a quarter of Euro-zone business, industry accounts for most of the volatility in GDP. Thus developments here have significant impact on overall growth in Europe. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. A headline above zero indicates positive industrial confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. Euro-zone Services Confidence A gauge of business sentiment in the services sector. The figure is derived from a survey asking firms in the service sector about current and expected demand. Since the service sector accounts for roughly two thirds of total Euro-zone GDP, Services Confidence provides an important confirmation of the health for the overall economy. High levels of Services Confidence suggest future upward trends for production and employment. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive service sector confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Euro-Zone Economic Confidence | Jan | 93.3 | 93.8 | 93.4 |
|
Euro-zone Confidence and Sentiment Indicators - Euro-zone Based on the results of numerous surveys, these indicators are designed to forecast the direction of the Euro-zone economy. Each indictor is the balance of positive and negative responses. If there are more optimistic responses the headline figure will be positive, while a greater number of negative responses will result in negative figure. The strength of the sentiment can be seen in the magnitude of the figure. Euro-zone Business Climate Indicator Gauges current business conditions in the Euro-zone. Based on industrial sector surveys the BCI strives to provide a timely and clear picture of business sentiment in the Euro-zone. A high or rising Business Climate figure generally indicates a healthy economy and business climate; conversely, a low or declining figure signals an unfavorable or worsening economy. As business and consumer confidence increases we typically see similar increases in investments, production, and consumption and economic growth. Euro-zone Economic Confidence An overall gauge of sentiment toward the economy in the Euro-zone. The index is a composite of most of the sector specific surveys done by the European Commission. A high or rising level of Economic Confidence indicates healthy levels of purchasing, business spending, and investment - a positive economic outlook conducive to the strengthening of the economy and the Euro. Reported in the European Commission's Business and Consumer Surveys, economic confidence brings together 5 confidence indicators with different weights: Industrial Confidence (40%), Service Confidence (30%), Consumer Confidence (20%), Construction Confidence (5%), and Retail Trade Confidence Indicator (5%). Euro-zone Consumer Confidence Measures consumer sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. The figure is the result of Euro-zone consumer surveys personal finance, the job market, the likelihood of saving and expectations on the economy. High levels of consumer confidence bode well for the economy, indicating consumers are more likely to increase consumption spurring growth and potentially sparking inflation. Conversely, low consumer confidence levels suggest decreased spending. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive consumer confidence, while a negative number shows more negative answers. Euro-zone Industrial Confidence A measure of industry sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. Based on a survey among industrial executives, Industrial Confidence asks for production expectations. Specifically the European Commission asks about recent orders and buildup of inventories. Higher levels of industrial confidence indicate a positive outlook for future business spending and capital investment. Despite the fact that manufacturing accounts for only about a quarter of Euro-zone business, industry accounts for most of the volatility in GDP. Thus developments here have significant impact on overall growth in Europe. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. A headline above zero indicates positive industrial confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. Euro-zone Services Confidence A gauge of business sentiment in the services sector. The figure is derived from a survey asking firms in the service sector about current and expected demand. Since the service sector accounts for roughly two thirds of total Euro-zone GDP, Services Confidence provides an important confirmation of the health for the overall economy. High levels of Services Confidence suggest future upward trends for production and employment. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive service sector confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Business Climate Indicator | Jan | -0.31 | -0.25 | -0.21 |
|
Euro-zone Confidence and Sentiment Indicators - Euro-zone Based on the results of numerous surveys, these indicators are designed to forecast the direction of the Euro-zone economy. Each indictor is the balance of positive and negative responses. If there are more optimistic responses the headline figure will be positive, while a greater number of negative responses will result in negative figure. The strength of the sentiment can be seen in the magnitude of the figure. Euro-zone Business Climate Indicator Gauges current business conditions in the Euro-zone. Based on industrial sector surveys the BCI strives to provide a timely and clear picture of business sentiment in the Euro-zone. A high or rising Business Climate figure generally indicates a healthy economy and business climate; conversely, a low or declining figure signals an unfavorable or worsening economy. As business and consumer confidence increases we typically see similar increases in investments, production, and consumption and economic growth. Euro-zone Economic Confidence An overall gauge of sentiment toward the economy in the Euro-zone. The index is a composite of most of the sector specific surveys done by the European Commission. A high or rising level of Economic Confidence indicates healthy levels of purchasing, business spending, and investment - a positive economic outlook conducive to the strengthening of the economy and the Euro. Reported in the European Commission's Business and Consumer Surveys, economic confidence brings together 5 confidence indicators with different weights: Industrial Confidence (40%), Service Confidence (30%), Consumer Confidence (20%), Construction Confidence (5%), and Retail Trade Confidence Indicator (5%). Euro-zone Consumer Confidence Measures consumer sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. The figure is the result of Euro-zone consumer surveys personal finance, the job market, the likelihood of saving and expectations on the economy. High levels of consumer confidence bode well for the economy, indicating consumers are more likely to increase consumption spurring growth and potentially sparking inflation. Conversely, low consumer confidence levels suggest decreased spending. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive consumer confidence, while a negative number shows more negative answers. Euro-zone Industrial Confidence A measure of industry sentiment in the Euro-zone nations. Based on a survey among industrial executives, Industrial Confidence asks for production expectations. Specifically the European Commission asks about recent orders and buildup of inventories. Higher levels of industrial confidence indicate a positive outlook for future business spending and capital investment. Despite the fact that manufacturing accounts for only about a quarter of Euro-zone business, industry accounts for most of the volatility in GDP. Thus developments here have significant impact on overall growth in Europe. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. A headline above zero indicates positive industrial confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. Euro-zone Services Confidence A gauge of business sentiment in the services sector. The figure is derived from a survey asking firms in the service sector about current and expected demand. Since the service sector accounts for roughly two thirds of total Euro-zone GDP, Services Confidence provides an important confirmation of the health for the overall economy. High levels of Services Confidence suggest future upward trends for production and employment. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive service sector confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence. |
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| 04:00 |
|
CPI preliminary | Jan | 0.7% m/m, 2.1% y/y | -0.4% m/m, 2% y/y | -0.4% m/m, 2% y/y |
|
Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in Germany , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical German household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items. The German CPI is significant as one of the primary gauges of inflation. As the largest Euro-zone economy, inflation in Germany will contribute significantly to inflation in the Euro-zone and the behavior of the European Central Bank. High or rising inflation acts as a signal to the ECB to raise interest rates, an action which will result in the strengthening of the Euro. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in monthly and annualized percentage term. |
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| 04:30 |
|
Personal Income | m/m, Dec | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
|
Broad gauge of employee earnings in the US . Personal Income measures the pre-tax income households receive from employment, investments, and transfer payments. As wages and salaries make up the majority of Personal Income, the figure can provide insight on the US employment situation. However, because Personal Income is released after the headline employment figure and earnings figures, its impact on the market is muted. The figure is still useful in gauging the purchasing ability of consumers, though, as rising Personal Income allows for strong consumers spending. Such spending drives output growth and fuels the US economy. |
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| 04:30 |
|
Personal Spending | m/m, Dec | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0% |
|
Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures. A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation. On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn. Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption. The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month. |
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| 04:30 |
|
PCE Core | Dec | 0.1% m/m, 1.7% y/y | 0.1% m/m, 1.7% y/y | 0.2% m/m, 1.8% y/y |
|
Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures. A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation. On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn. Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption. The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure The headline figure of PCE is expressed in percentage change in spending for the quarter. Note: The Personal Consumption Expenditure figure is reported with the Personal Income and Outlays figure. |
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| 04:30 |
|
PCE Deflator | y/y, Dec | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
|
A measure of inflation based on changes in personal consumption. Unlike the CPI, which is based on a fixed basket of goods, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Deflator finds the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. PCE Deflator has been shown to be a more comprehensive and consistent gauge of inflation in the US. Price changes may cause consumers to switch from buying one good to another. Whereas the fixed-basket CPI does not account for altered spending habits caused by price changes, the PCE Deflator's ability to account for such substitutions makes it the preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve. Thus, changes in the PCE offer insight on the direction of future monetary policy.
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| 06:30 |
|
Dallas Fed Manf. Activity | m/m, Jan | -0.3 | 1.5 | 15.3 |
|
Monthly index reflecting the state of manufacturing orders, output prices and trading stocks. |
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| 12:45 |
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Building Permits | m/m, Dec | -6.4% | 8% | 2.1% |
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The number of new building projects authorized for construction New Zealand . Building Consents, or Building Permits, are issued when a building project has been authorized to begin construction. Since Building Consents serve as one of the earliest signals of expanded housing supply, the report is a leading indicator for the overall housing market. Also, because of the high outlays needed for construction projects Building Permits suggests optimism for corporate or consumer spending. Lastly, housing indicators are popular leading indicators due to the multiplier effect that they have on the rest of the economy. The headline is the percentage change in new consents for the month. |
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| 14:15 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 50.2 | 50.5 | 50.7 |
|
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 14:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate | m/m, Dec | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
|
The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks. Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems. |
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| 14:30 |
|
Household Spending | y/y, Dec | -3.2% | -0.1% | 0.5% |
|
A survey of both wage-earning and non-working households, such as those classified as single-member, unemployed, or retired. The headline figure is the percentage change in average spending per household from the previous year. Increases in household spending are favorable for the Japanese economy because high consumer spending generally leads to higher levels of economic growth. Higher spending is also a sign of consumer optimism, as households confident in their future outlook will spend more. At the same time accelerated growth exerts inflationary pressure, which can lead to interest rate increases in the future. |
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| 14:50 |
|
Industrial Production | Dec | -2.6% m/m, -4% | 2.8% m/m, -5% | 4% m/m, -4.1% |
|
Measures the per volume change in output from mining, quarrying, manufacturing, energy and construction sectors in Germany . Industrial production is significant as a short term indicator of the strength of German industrial activity. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion, healthy for the Euro. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation. The report is only a preliminary estimate figure that does not move the markets much. The figure is released in headlines as a monthly percent change. |
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| 15:00 |
|
GfK Consumer Confidence Survey | Jan | -33 | -31 | -29 |
|
On a global basis, the indicator is very important for the economy, as it reflects consumers sentiments which formed the major portion of Great Britain GDP. |
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| 15:30 |
|
Private Sector credit | Dec | 0.3% m/m, 3.5% y/y | 0.4% m/m, 3.6% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 3.5% y/y |
|
Indicator, showing volumes' rate of growth in the sector of private loans in Australia. |
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| 17:00 |
|
NAB Business Confidence | Dec | 2 | - | 3 |
|
A survey of the current state of the business sector in Australia . Based on a survey of hundreds of small to large sized companies, the National Australia Bank delivers monthly and more comprehensive quarterly reports from statistical and antidotal data. This comprehensive survey primarily provides insight into the state of the Australian economy and puts forth leading indicators that signal its future direction. Thus the survey's findings, if unexpected, have the power to move markets directly. The National Australia Bank releases both a monthly and quarterly report. The quarterly is more comprehensive, surveying around 1000 small to large non-farm firms. The quarterly provides greater detail on the data as well as provides a short to mid-term outlook of Australia . Because of seasonal volatility and government protections the survey only excludes the farm sector. |
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| 17:00 |
|
M3 Money Supply | y/y, Dec | 6.5% | - | 6% |
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The total supply of money in circulation in a given country's economy at a specific time. The primary measures of money supply include: M1, M2, and M3... |
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| 19:00 |
|
Vehicle production | y/y, Dec | 4.5% | - | 13.4% |
|
Like Germany, Japan is the leader of cars manufacturing. This indicator characterizes conditions in the sector of a manufacturing industry and also reflects consumption and confidence of consumers, not only in Japan. Considerable part of cars produced in Japan is made for export. |
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| 20:00 |
|
Construction orders | y/y, Dec | 21% | - | 1.5% |
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This report provides information on how many orders were received by construction companies to begin work. The report is compiled into three categories, type of firm (private manufacturer, governmental), region, and type of construction project. Since orders for construction serve as one of the earliest signals of expanded housing supply, the report is a leading indicator for the overall housing market. Also, because of the high outlays needed for construction projects high Construction Orders also suggest optimism for corporate or consumer spending. Lastly, due to the multiplier effect housing has on the economy; building indicators are popular leading indicators for the rest of the economy. The headline is the percentage change in new construction orders over the previous year. |
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| 20:00 |
|
Housing Starts | y/y, Dec | -0.3% | -1.4% | -7.3% |
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The Housing Starts figure reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. The number of housing starts is an indicator of the strength Japan 's construction sector and a leading indicator for the direction of the economy as a whole. Housing Starts respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, promptly slowing at the onset of a recession and growing at the beginning of an economic boom. A high Housing Starts figure is generally bullish for the economy, as it indicates overall economic growth. The headline figures are the year on year percentage change in value of housing starts, and the value of all houses started for construction that year. |
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| 22:00 |
|
Retail Sales | Dec | -0.9% m/m, 0.8% y/y | 0.9% m/m, 0.9% y/y | -1.4% m/m, -0.9% y/y |
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Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy since private consumption makes up a large portion of German Gross Domestic Product. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures. The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year. |
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| 22:00 |
|
UBS Consumption Indicator | Dec | 0.81 | - | 0.92 |
|
Index for consumer spending in Switzerland. The Consumption Indicator moves with changes in real consumer spending and can be used as a gauge of the strength of domestic demand. A rising indicator value reflects rising consumer spending, which generally leads to economic growth and potentially augur inflationary pressures to come. The UBS Consumption Indicator is calculated using five specific indicators of spending and expressed in the form of an index. These indicators are: new car sales, business trends in retail, overnight hotel stays by Swiss nationals in Switzerland , the consumer sentiment index and credit card transactions. The headline is the index value for the month. Because the index value is always positive markets compare the current index value to the short and long-term average values in order to gauge Switzerland 's economic health. In the long term the average has been approximately 1.5, but may change with time. |
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| 22:45 |
|
Producer Price Index | Dec | 0.4% m/m, 5.6% y/y | -0.1% m/m, 4.7% y/y | -0.1% m/m, 4.7% y/y |
|
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product. A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price. Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market. Core PPI, Excluding Food and Energy The PPI is also reported without the volatile food and energy components. In addition to being seasonally volatile, the two comprise a significant portion of US goods. As a result, any sudden disruption in oil or food supplies will significantly distort the Producer Price Index inflation assessment. By excluding such entities, Core PPI is able to provide a truer, more consistent picture of the inflation trends. |
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| 22:45 |
|
Consumer spending | Dec | -0.1% m/m, -2.1 % y/y | 0.3% m/m, -2.1 % y/y | -0.7% m/m, -3.1% y/y |
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Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted goods expenditures by consumers. |
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| 23:55 |
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Unemployment Rate | Jan | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
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The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks. Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems. |
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| 23:55 |
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Unemployment Change | Jan | -22K | -8K | -34K |
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The indicator shows the number of unemployed people in Germany. |
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| Time | Country | Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | Dec | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
|
The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks. |
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| 00:30 |
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Net Consumer Credit | Dec | GBP 0.4 bln | GBP 0.4 bln | -GBP 0.4 bln |
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Measures the outstanding debt held by consumers. Consumer Credit levels coincide with the economy, rising during economic expansion and dropping during a recession. Growth in Consumer Credit means that consumers have higher spending ability, which can fuel economic growth. However, too much Consumer Debt can result in an economic slowdown in the long term if consumers become overburdened with debt, then either reducing consumption or passing debt on to the financers after bankruptcy. The headline value is the outstanding debt held by consumers. |
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| 00:30 |
|
Consumer credit | Dec | GBP 1 bln | GBP 1.2 bln | GBP 0.4 bln |
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The dollar value of consumer installment credit outstanding. Changes in consumer credit indicate the state of consumer finances and portend future spending patterns. |
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| 00:30 |
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Mortrage Lending | Dec | GBP 0.6 bln | GBP 0.8 bln | GBP 0.7 bln |
|
The amount of new debt held by the UK governments. In the long run, the public sector account must be in balance in order for the economy to be sustainable. If the UK spends more than what it earns, it must finance this budget deficit with an increase in Net Borrowing. Because budget deficits are generally unfavorable for the economy, growth in Net Borrowing is considered bearish for the Pound. Likewise, if Net Borrowing is negative, it means the UK is running a budget surplus and, rather than borrowing money, is a net lender. The headline number is the net borrowing for the previous month in billions of Pounds. |
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| 00:30 |
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Mortgage Approvals | Dec | 52.9K | 54K | 52.9K |
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This index indicates the number of mortgages approved for house buying for the last month. These data are published by the Bank of England. |
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| 00:30 |
|
M4 Money Supply | Dec | -0.6% m/m, -2.6% y/y | - | -1.4% m/m, -2.5% y/y |
|
The total supply of money in circulation in a given country's economy at a specific time. The primary measures of money supply include: M1, M2, and M3... |
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| 01:00 |
|
Producer Price Index | Dec | 0.2% m/m, 4.5% y/y | -0.1% m/m, 3.7% y/y | 0.1% m/m, 3.8% y/y |
|
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product. A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price. Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market. Core PPI, Excluding Food and Energy The PPI is also reported without the volatile food and energy components. In addition to being seasonally volatile, the two comprise a significant portion of US goods. As a result, any sudden disruption in oil or food supplies will significantly distort the Producer Price Index inflation assessment. By excluding such entities, Core PPI is able to provide a truer, more consistent picture of the inflation trends. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | Dec | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
|
The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.
|
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| 04:30 |
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Raw Materials Price Index | m/m, Dec | 3.8% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
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Measures the prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials, including resources not produced in Canada. Also known as the Producer Price Index, the RMPI is an early measure of inflation. Although producers may not pass on changes in raw material prices to consumers immediately, the index will record these cost pressures before they reach the end consumer and affect inflation rates. The headline figure is the percentage change in the price index from the previous month and year. The index includes prices for raw materials like mineral fuels, vegetable products, animal and animal products, wood, ferrous materials, non-ferrous metals, and non-metallic minerals. |
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| 04:30 |
|
PPI | m/m, Dec | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.7% |
|
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product. A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price. Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market. Core PPI, Excluding Food and Energy The PPI is also reported without the volatile food and energy components. In addition to being seasonally volatile, the two comprise a significant portion of US goods. As a result, any sudden disruption in oil or food supplies will significantly distort the Producer Price Index inflation assessment. By excluding such entities, Core PPI is able to provide a truer, more consistent picture of US inflation trends. |
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| 04:30 |
|
Gross Domestic Product | Nov | 0% m/m, 2.7% y/y | 0.2% m/m, 2.3% | -0.1% m/m, 2% y/y |
|
A comprehensive measure of a Canada's overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP is a significant report in FX Market, serving as one of the primary indicators of a country's overall economic health. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may prompt monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus positive GDP readings are generally bullish for the Canadian Dollar, while negative readings are generally bearish. Most production reports that lead to Canadian GDP are released before the official GDP number. Therefore, actual GDP figures usually confirm expectations. However, an unexpected release can move markets due to the significance of the figure. Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way: GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM) where The headline figures for GDP are the percentage growth rate from the previous quarter and the annualized percentage change in GDP. Prices used are benchmarked to 1997 prices. |
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| 05:45 |
|
Chicago Purchasing Manager Index | Jan | 62.5 | 63.2 | 60.2 |
|
Monthly measure of the business conditions based on surveys of purchasing managers across Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. Released on the last business day of the reporting month, the report's significance has recently declined, with its only significance being that it precedes the more anticipated ISM report. Subsequently, it is used to predict the ISM report as the Chicago survey retains a high correlation with the broader economic release. Referring to a benchmark of 50, the report is considered to reflect expansion when printing a reading of 50 or higher. Conversely, a reading of 49 and lower would be indicative of contraction. |
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| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | Jan | 64.5 | 68.4 | 61.1 |
|
Assessment of consumer sentiment regarding business conditions, employment and personal income. Based on a representative sample of thousands of mail-in surveys, the Conference Board index has the largest pooling sample of any U.S. measure of consumer confidence. Consumer Confidence levels are generally linked with consumer spending. For instance, when consumer confidence is on the rise consumer spending tends to increase. Low or falling consumer confidence on the other hand is typically associated with decreased spending and consumer demand. Some analysts criticize the Consumer Confidence figure for its volatile tendencies and weak connection to household expenditure, turning instead to the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence numbers. The volatility of the Consumer Confidence figure is attributed to two factors: its pooling size and the survey time frame focus. The Conference Board surveys an entirely new group of people each month, resulting in more erratic month to month figures. Additionally, the survey queries respondents on expectations for the following six months, a relatively short term evaluation. Conversely, the U. Michigan survey will re-poll many individuals and focuses on expectations for the next one to five years. The long term focus has a stabilizing effect on consumer confidence. Survey results are printed in the headlines where 100 reflects a recent base year. |
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| 13:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 50.2 | - | 51.6 |
|
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 13:30 |
|
House Price Index | 4th quarter of 2011 | -1.2% q/q, -2.2% y/y | -0.7% q/q, -3.3% y/y | -1% q/q, -4.8% y/y |
|
Tracks changes in housing prices in Australia's eight provincial capital cities: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, Hobart, Darwin, and Canberra. The headline number is the weighted average percentage change from the previous quarter. Like any price index, the housing price indexes measure inflationary pressures, in this case specifically from the housing sector. The headline number is the quarterly percentage change in the index. |
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| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales | m/m, Dec | 4.4% | - | -4.9% |
|
Records sales of newly constructed residences in the United States. The figure is a timely gauge of housing market conditions counting home sales when initial housing contracts are signed. Because New Home Sales usually trigger a sequence of consumption, they have significant market impact upon release. In addition to the high expenditure of the new home, buyers are likely to spend more money on furnishing customizing and financing their home. Consequently, growth in the housing market spurs more consumption, generating demand for goods, services and the employees who provide them. Generally the housing market is tracked by a number of reports that mark different stages of the construction and home sale process. The first stage is Building Permits, which precede Housing Starts, which lead to Construction Spending, MBA Mortgage Applications and, finally, New Home Sales and Existing Home Sales. As the headline housing figure, New Home Sales are believed to control for some of the volatility of other data. For instance, Building Permits and Housing Starts are considered more indicative of business confidence and production rather than consumer spending. And while Existing Home Sales figures are more indicative of consumer expenditures, they are lagging indicators with less predictive value. New Home Sales numbers are considered confirmatory of housing trends and still predictive of consumer spending. New Home Sales is also a good indicator of economic turning points due to its sensitivity to consumer income. Buying a house is always a major expenditure, typically only undertaken when consumers have sufficient savings or are optimistic about future earnings. Historically, when economic conditions slow, New Home Sales are one of the first indicators to reflect the change. By the same token, New Home Sales undergo substantial growth when the economy has emerged from recession and wages have begun to pick up. The report headline is the total amount of properties sold. |
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| 16:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 50.3 | 49.8 | 50.5 |
|
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 20:00 |
|
Vehicle sales | y/y, Jan | 23.5% | - | 40.7% |
|
| 22:00 |
|
Nationwide House Price Index | Jan | -0.2% m/m, 1% y/y | -0.1% m/m, 1.2% y/y | -0.2% m/m, 0.6% y/y |
|
Gauge for costs of homes in the United Kingdom. Mortgage data is used to provide a timely measure of the level of prices. House prices give good information current conditions in the housing market. The Index can precurse broader inflationary pressures felt in later more market moving reports should housing price pressures feed into consumer prices. |
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| 23:15 |
|
Retail Sales | y/y, Dec | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
|
Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the Swiss economy since private consumption makes up a large portion of Swiss Gross Domestic Product. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures. The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year. |
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| 23:30 |
|
SVME Purchasing Managers Index | Jan | 50.7 | 52 | 47.3 |
|
The Schweizerischer Verband für Materialwirtschaft und Einkauf (SVME) Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. |
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| 23:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 44.3 | 45.3 | 46.8 |
|
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 23:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 48.9 | 48.5 | 48.5 |
|
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 23:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 50.9 | 50.9 | 51 |
|
Gauge for overall performance of the German manufacturing sector. Through asking executives about sales and employment outlook, the survey strives to provide useful information about the business climate that can lead to developments in employment, output and consumption. The PMI survey results are the result of interviews with business executives. Manufacturing is an important sector in Germany , which is why changes in Manufacturing PMI can provide a good indicator to the overall economic condition in Germany as well as Euro-zone. However, despite the timeliness of the report, Manufacturing PMI is not a big market mover. |
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| Time | Country | Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 48.7 | 48.7 | 48.8 |
|
The Euro-zone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) assesses business conditions in the manufacturing sector. Because the manufacturing sector represents nearly a quarter of total Euro-zone GDP, the Euro-zone Manufacturing PMI is both a significant and timely indicator of business conditions and the general health of the economy. Results are quantified in an index in which values above 50 indicate an expected increase of business conditions and values below 50 signal an expected deterioration. |
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| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | Jan | 49.6 | 50.2 | 52.1 |
|
A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 01:00 |
|
Consumer Price Index | y/y, Jan | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
|
CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Euro Zone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Euro Zone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range. |
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| 03:00 |
|
MBA Mortgage Applications | on week, Jan 27 | -5% | - | -2.9% |
|
Gauges demand for mortgage application in the US . Tracking new home mortgages and refinances, MBA Mortgage Applications Survey serves at a current indicator for the US housing market. Growth in mortgages suggests a healthy housing market. Due to the multiplier effect housing has on the rest of the economy, rising activity suggests increased household income and economic expansion. The headline figure is the weekly percentage change in the MBA Mortgage Applications figure. Among the various indices measured in the survey, the purchase index and refinancing index most accurately reflect where the housing market is headed. The purchasing index measures the change in existing home sales in all mortgage applications, while the refinance index measures the mortgage refinancing activity in all mortgage applications. Note: Due to volatility in the sector, markets also focus on the four week moving averages. |
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| 04:15 |
|
ADP Employment Change | Jan | 325K | 189K | 170K |
|
Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government. ADP provides payroll services to many corporations in the USA. They use the data collected from their customers to derive the overall employment estimations. |
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| 06:00 |
|
Construction Spending | m/m, Dec | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% |
|
Construction spending gauges the level of construction activity in the United States . The Construction Spending report looks at both residential and non-residential construction. The construction industry makes a significant contribution to the United States GDP in the form of investment expenditure as well as stimulus of industries related to building. Furthermore, since builders are unlikely to pour money into construction projects unless they feel the economy favors their investment, changes in business sentiment like this are usually quickly seen in construction figures. However, the report has little significance for market participants because of its untimely release. By the time the report is announced other reports, such building permits and building starts have already provided similar information. The report headline is the percentage change from the previous month. Technical notes: The construction industry is a major force to the United States economy, even without including non-construction businesses that are tied to building, such as finance, the furnishing industry, appliance industry and other manufacturing. Private Construction activity can be an effective indicator of business confidence. |
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| 06:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing | Jan | 53.9 | 54.6 | 54.1 |
|
ISM Manufacuring assesses the state of US industry by surveying executives on expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. Though manufacturing accounts for a relatively small portion of GDP, fluctuations in manufacturing tend to bear the most responsibility for changes in GDP. Consequently, developments in manufacturing often front run trends in the overall economy, making the ISM Manufacturing figure a leading indicator of economic turnarounds. A pickup in demand for manufactured products after a period of recession, reflected by a higher ISM figure, strongly suggests a reversal upward. Conversely a slowdown in manufacturing orders and production during a boom suggests a slowing of the economy. The ISM Manufacturing Survey is valued for its timeliness, and indeed, during waning boom cycles analyst point out that ISM tends to be one of the biggest market moving economic releases. The reasoning lies within the ISM's Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents. These components reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. Given that the ISM's timeliness, the information gleaned from such components precedes other market data (like Non-Farm Payrolls or CPI), making the ISM a significant indicator. The headline figure is expressed as a diffusion index based on survey responses. For each category (production, new orders etc.), the index is calculated by adding the percentage of executive responding "higher" with half the percentage of "no change" responses, and subtracting the percentage of "lower" responses. The ISM manufacturing indicator is the aggregate of the results for all categories. Values over 50 generally indicate an expansion, while values below 50 indicate contraction. |
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| 15:30 |
|
Trade Balance | Dec | AUD 1.38 bln | AUD 1.23 bln | AUD 1.71 bln |
|
A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency. |
|||||||
| 15:30 |
|
Building Approvals | Dec | 10.1% m/m, -17.5% y/y | 2.1% m/m, -22.1% y/y | -1% m/m, -24.5% y/y |
|
The number of domestic building permits granted for the month. Strong growth in new approvals and permits indicates a growing housing market. Because real estate generally leads economic developments - housing tends to thrive at the start of booms and wane at the onset of recession - the figure can be used with others to forecast future growth in the economy as a whole. For this reason Business Approvals is one of eight components used to construct the Conference Board Leading Index, a widely used index to forecast Australia's economic course. A strong housing market also tends to lead consumer spending. The headline number is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in new building approvals from the previous month. |
|||||||
| 21:30 |
|
International reserves | on week, Jan 27 | USD 499.7 bln | - | USD 504 bln |
|
The amount of international reserves reflects the external - economic turnover and capital flows during earlier periods. |
|||||||
| 22:00 |
|
Trade Balance | Dec | CHF 3 bln | CHF 2.85 bln | CHF 2.07 bln |
|
A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency. |
|||||||
| Time | Country | Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Construction | Jan | 53.2 | 53 | 51.4 |
|
A monthly gauge of construction sector activity. The CIPS PMI asks executives in the construction sector about the state of business and the current level of purchasing. These managers are tasked with gauging future construction demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the construction sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
|||||||
| 01:00 |
|
PPI | Dec | 0.2% m/m, 5.3% y/y | -0.1% m/m, 4.3% y/y | -0.2% m/m, 4.3% y/y |
|
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product. A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price. Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market. Core PPI, Excluding Food and Energy The PPI is also reported without the volatile food and energy components. In addition to being seasonally volatile, the two comprise a significant portion of goods. As a result, any sudden disruption in oil or food supplies will significantly distort the Producer Price Index inflation assessment. By excluding such entities, Core PPI is able to provide a truer, more consistent picture of inflation trends. |
|||||||
| 04:30 |
|
Initial Jobless Claims | on week, Jan 27 | 377K | 371K | 367K |
|
The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes. |
|||||||
| 04:30 |
|
Non-farm Productivity | 4th quarter of 2011 | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
|
Measures the output produced for each hour of labor worked. Non-farm Productivity is considered the most accurate gauge of overall business health, given farming data's small and volatile contribution to GDP. To businesses, higher productivity indicates efficient use of employees and capital. Given that labor costs make up more than two-thirds of the average businesses expenses, high productivity can allow a firm to fulfill consumer demand with less labor costs, boosting profitability. Thus trends in this report can precede investment spending and business growth. Also if prices raw materials increase, improved productivity can save a firm from passing higher costs to the end consumer. Given such business effects, healthy productivity growth bodes well for the economy as a whole, signaling increased production capability and business growth. Productivity is reported as output per hour per worker, categorized into industry figures. On a Technical Note: The Non-Farm Productivity number is generated by comparing the number of hours worked (Employment Situation report) to Gross Domestic Product data. |
|||||||
| 06:00 |
|
Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies | - | - | - |
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Ben Shalom Bernanke is an American economist, and the current Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States. |
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| 13:30 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 49 | - | 51.9 |
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Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| 16:00 |
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Non-Manufacturing PMI | Jan | 56 | - | 52.9 |
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It is a major indicator of the strength of the non-manufacturing sector of China. |
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| 17:30 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 52.5 | - | 52.5 |
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Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| 20:00 |
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Monetary base | on week, Jan 27 | RUR 6804.1 bln | - | RUR 6749 bln |
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The monetary base is volume of money in the economy consists of currency (banknotes and coins) in circulation and commercial banks reserves in the Central Bank. |
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| 23:45 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 44.5 | 45.4 | 44.8 |
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Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| 23:50 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 51.7 | 51.7 | 52.3 |
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Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| 23:55 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 54.5 | 54.5 | 53.7 |
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Gauge for the overall performance of the German service sector. The Services PMI interviews German executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the German service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| Time | Country | Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
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| 00:00 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.4 |
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Gauge for the overall performance of the German service sector. The Services PMI interviews German executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the German service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index. |
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| 00:00 |
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Composite PMI | Jan | 50.4 | 50.4 | 50.4 |
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Indicator shows business confidence in the private segment of Eurozone Economy. |
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| 00:30 |
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PMI Services | Jan | 54 | 53.6 | 56 |
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A monthly guage of the UK service sector that takes into account business outlook. The survey queries executives in transport and communications, financial intermediation, business services, personal services, computing and IT, hotels and restaurants. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the service sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. Because the contribution Services makes to the economy tends to be very consistent and predictable, Services PMI figures typically do not move markets The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100. |
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| 01:00 |
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Retail sales | Dec | -0.8% m/m, -2.5% y/y | 0.4% m/m, -1.3% y/y | -0.4% m/m, -1.6% y/y |
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Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures. The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year. |
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| 01:00 |
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Consumer Price Index | Jan | 0.4% m/m, 3.3% y/y | 0.2% m/m, 3.2% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 3.2% y/y |
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Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in Italy , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Italian household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items. |
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| 03:00 |
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Unemployment Rate | m/m, Jan | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
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The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks. Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems. |
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| 04:30 |
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Average workweek | Jan | 34.4 | 34.4 | 34.5 |
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This indicator shows the average weekly hours in the USA. |
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| 04:30 |
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Unemployment Rate | Jan | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
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The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks. Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems. |
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| 04:30 |
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Nonfarm payrolls | Jan | 200K | 156K | 243K |
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One of the most widely anticipated reports on the US economic calendar, the Employment Situation is a timely report that gives a picture of job creation, loss, wages and working hours in the United States. Data in the report relies on the Household Survey and the Establishment (or Payroll) Survey. While the Household Survey is based on the interviews to US households, the Establishment Survey queries business establishments, making it the preferred source of data. The Employment Situation's has many significant figures such as: Change in Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment, Manufacturing Payrolls, and Average Hourly Earnings. The headline figures for this report are reported monthly, as the total number of new jobs in thousands (say, 120K new jobs), and the unemployment rate. Change in Non-farm Payrolls Monthly change in employment excluding the farming sector. Non-farm payrolls is the most closely watched indicator in the Employment Situation, considered the most comprehensive measure of job creation in the US. Such a distinction makes the NFP figure highly significant, given the importance of labor to the US economy. Specifically, political pressures come into play, as the Fed is responsible for keeping employment in a healthy range and utilizes interest rate changes to do so. A surge in new Non-farm Payrolls suggests rising employment and potential inflation pressures, which the Fed often counters with rate increases. On the other hand, a consistent decline in Non-farm Employment suggests a slowing economy, which makes a decline in rates more likely. |
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| 04:30 |
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Average Hourly Earnings | m/m, Jan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
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An indicator of how the average level of pay is changing. The Average Hourly Earnings figure provides insight into future spending and inflation. A High Average Hourly Earnings bodes well for future consumption, as workers have more disposable income. High figures may indicate inflationary pressures due to employee's additional potential to spend. The figure is either measured in hourly or weekly averages or as a percent change from the previous month. |
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| 06:00 |
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ISM Non-Manf. | Jan | 52.6 | 53.2 | 56.8 |
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ISM Non-Manufacturing gauge of business conditions in non-manufacturing industries, based on measures of employment trends, prices and new orders. Though non-manufacturing sectors make up the majority of the economy, the ISM Non-Manufacturing has less market impact because non-manufacturing data tends to be more cyclical and predictable. However, these sectors do account for a considerable portion of CPI. As a result, the figure gives insight into conditions which can impact output growth and inflationary pressures. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is based on a sample survey of purchasing and supply executives, weighted according to industry contribution to GDP. The Index is calculated using 50% as the centerline between positive and negative expectations; the figure is reported in headlines as the percent change. Note: There are 10 separate indexes reported, but Business Activity is considered the most important. The other nine indexes are: New Orders, Supplier Deliveries, Employment, Inventories, Prices, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Imports, and Inventory Sentiment. |
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| 06:00 |
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Factory Orders | m/m, Dec | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
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Dollar volume of new orders, shipments, unfilled orders and inventories as reported by domestic manufacturers. Factor Orders is not a widely watched economic release. The Advance Release on Durable Goods Activity reported one week earlier tends grab more market attention, given that durable goods make up more than half of factory orders. Factor Orders does provide a comprehensive look at the manufacturing sector. Specifically, the New Orders figure can act as a gauge of demand across industries while Shipments are indicative of supply. The Unfilled Orders and Inventory figures reconcile the balance between New Orders and Shipments; high Shipments are indicative of an excess of demand relative to supply, high Inventories signal an excess of supply over demand. Figures are reported in billions of dollars and also in percent change from the previous month. On a Technical Note: The New Orders figure measures the value of orders received by manufacturers for new products from both domestic and foreign sources. The total value of products shipped is calculated in Shipments while Unfilled Orders measures the value of goods backlogged for order but not yet shipped. Lastly, Inventories gauges the amount of unsold goods held by manufacturers . |
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